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===== CST-317: Introduction to Earth System Modelling (INPE Course 2016) =====

  * Professors: Pedro R. Andrade,[[http://www.dpi.inpe.br/gilberto|Gilberto Câmara]] 
  * Lectures: Wednesdays and Fridays, 10h00, Room 12, 1st floor, CCST building

===== References =====

  * Modeling the Environment (2nd edition), Andrew Ford. Island Press, 2010.
  * Thinking in Systems, Donella Meadows, Chelsea Green Publishing, 2008.
  * Complex Adaptive Systems: An Introduction to Computational Models of Social Life, John H. Miller & Scott Page, Princeton University Press, 2007.
  * Agent-based models of geographical systems, editors: Heppenstall, A.J., Crooks, A.T., See, L.M., Batty, M., Springer-Verlag, 2012.

===== Classes =====

^ ^  Title	                  ^  Models  ^  Scenarios                ^  Concepts  ^  Exercises  |
|1  |{{http://www.dpi.inpe.br/gilberto/cursos/cst-317-2015/lecture-introd.ppt|Introduction}}| | | | |
|2  |{{:cst-317:1-lua-for-terrame.ppt|Lua for TerraME}}     | {{http://www.dpi.inpe.br/gilberto/cursos/cst-317-2015/code-introduction.zip|Lua scripts}}      | | nil, number, boolean, string, table, function | {{:cst-317:exercicios-lua.pdf|Lua exercises}} |
|3  |{{:cst-317:2-system-dynamics.ppt|Systems Dynamics}}      | {{https://raw.githubusercontent.com/gilbertocamara/sysdyn/master/lua/Tub.lua|Tub}} (sysdyn) | {{https://raw.githubusercontent.com/gilbertocamara/sysdyn/master/examples/tub-scenarios.lua|tub-scenarios}} (sysdyn) | Model, Event, Timer, Chart | {{:cst-317:exercise1.pdf|Water in the Dam}} |
|4  | {{:cst-317:3-feedbacks.ppt|Feedbacks}} | {{https://raw.githubusercontent.com/gilbertocamara/sysdyn/master/lua/Coffee.lua|Coffee}}, {{https://raw.githubusercontent.com/gilbertocamara/sysdyn/master/lua/PopulationGrowth.lua|PopulationGrowth}} (sysdyn) | {{https://raw.githubusercontent.com/gilbertocamara/sysdyn/master/examples/coffee-scenarios.lua|coffee-scenarios}}, {{https://raw.githubusercontent.com/gilbertocamara/sysdyn/master/examples/population-scenarios-1.lua|population-scenarios-1}}, {{https://raw.githubusercontent.com/gilbertocamara/sysdyn/master/examples/population-scenarios-1.lua|population-scenarios-2}} (sysdyn) | Environment, instance of Model |
|5  | {{:cst-317:4-epidemics.ppt|Epidemics}} | {{https://raw.githubusercontent.com/gilbertocamara/sysdyn/master/lua/SIR.lua|SIR}} (sysdyn) | {{https://raw.githubusercontent.com/gilbertocamara/sysdyn/master/examples/infection-scenarios-1.lua|infection-scenarios-1}}, {{https://raw.githubusercontent.com/gilbertocamara/sysdyn/master/examples/infection-scenarios-2.lua|infection-scenarios-2}}, {{https://raw.githubusercontent.com/gilbertocamara/sysdyn/master/examples/infection-scenarios-3.lua|infection-scenarios-3}} (sysdyn) | |
|6  | {{:cst-317:5-predator-prey.ppt|Predator-Prey}} | {{https://raw.githubusercontent.com/gilbertocamara/sysdyn/master/lua/PredatorPrey.lua|PredatorPrey}} (sysdyn) | | |
|7  | {{:cst-317:6-daisyworld.ppt|Daisyworld}} | {{https://raw.githubusercontent.com/gilbertocamara/sysdyn/master/lua/Daisyworld.lua|Daisyworld}} (sysdyn) | {{https://raw.githubusercontent.com/pedro-andrade-inpe/calibration/master/examples/daisy-calibration.lua|daisy-calibration}} (calibration)| MultipleRuns (calibration) |
|8  | {{:cst-317:7-calibration.ppt|Calibration}} | {{https://raw.githubusercontent.com/gilbertocamara/sysdyn/master/lua/PredatorPrey.lua|PredatorPrey}} (sysdyn) | | | {{:cst-317:exercise2.pdf|Exploring SIR Model}}|
|9 | {{:cst-317:8-cellular-automaton.ppt|Cellular Automata}}	              | {{https://raw.githubusercontent.com/pedro-andrade-inpe/ca/master/lua/Life.lua|Life}} (ca)         |      |Cell, CellularSpace, Neighborhood, Map, Random | |
|10| {{:cst-317:9-fire-in-the-forest.ppt|Fire in the Forest}}             | {{https://raw.githubusercontent.com/pedro-andrade-inpe/ca/master/lua/Fire.lua|Fire}} (ca) |      |             | {{:cst-317:exercise3.pdf|Fire in the Forest}}|
|11| {{:cst-317:10-runoff.ppt|Runoff}} | {{https://raw.githubusercontent.com/TerraME/terrame/master/packages/terralib/examples/runoff.lua|Runoff}} (terralib) | | |
|12| {{:cst-317:11-geospatial-data.ppt|Geospatial data}} | | | Project, Layer (terralib) | |
|13| {{:cst-317:12-deforestation.ppt|Deforestation}}   | {{:cst-317:deforestation.zip|}}| | Trajectory | {{:cst-317:exercise4.pdf|Deforestation}}, {{:cst-317:exercise4.zip|database}}|
|14| {{http://www.dpi.inpe.br/gilberto/cursos/cst-317-2016/lecture-agent-based-modelling.ppt|Agent-Based Modelling}}   | | | Agent, Society, Group| {{http://www.dpi.inpe.br/gilberto/cursos/cst-317-2016/exercise5.pdf|Butterfly Model}}, {{http://www.dpi.inpe.br/gilberto/cursos/cst-317-2016/butterfly_paper.pdf|Butterfly Paper}}|
|15| {{:cst-317:14-sugarscape.ppt|Sugarscape}}| | | | 
|16| {{:cst-317:15-predator-prey.ppt|Predator Prey}} | {{https://raw.githubusercontent.com/pedro-andrade-inpe/logo/master/lua/PredatorPrey.lua|PredatorPrey}}| | |


===== Additional Reading =====

  * {{http://www.leg.ufpr.br/~pedro/final-projects/Wood-08.pdf|Wood, A. J., G. J. Ackland, J. G. Dyke, H. T. P. Williams, and T. M. Lenton (2008), Daisyworld: A review, Rev. Geophys., 46, RG1001}}.
  * W. von Bloh. Daisyworld: a tutorial approach to geophysiological modelling [[http://www.pik-potsdam.de/~bloh/]]
  * {{http://www.leg.ufpr.br/~pedro/final-projects/Schelling-71.pdf|Schelling, T. C. (1971). Dynamic models of segregation. Journal of mathematical sociology, 1(2), 143-186.}} (check also for its variations in the literature)
  * {{http://www.dpi.inpe.br/gilberto/cursos/cst-317-2013/lenton1998.pdf|Timothy M. Lenton(1998). Gaia and Natural Selection. Nature 394, 439-447 (30 July 1998)}} 
  *  {{http://www.dpi.inpe.br/gilberto/cursos/cst-317-2013/games_on_grids.pdf| Nowak MA & Sigmund K (2000), Games on Grids}}. In: The Geometry of Ecological Interactions: Simplifying Spatial Complexity, eds. Dieckmann U, Law R & Metz JAJ, pp. 135–150. Cambridge UniversityPress.

===== Papers for Final Projects =====

The final project consists of an implementation and discussion of one of the models available
[[http://www.easterbrook.ca/steve/2013/01/simple-climate-models-to-play-with-in-the-classroom/|here]]
or the following papers.



|  | {{http://www.dpi.inpe.br/gilberto/cursos/papers/Crooks2016ConflictDiamonds.pdf|Pires, B. and Crooks, A.T. (2016), The Geography of Conflict Diamonds: The Case of Sierra Leone}} (see also the model in the {{https://www.openabm.org/model/4955/OpenABM site)}} |
| Diogo, Rolf e João | {{http://www.dpi.inpe.br/gilberto/cursos/papers/Silvertown1992.pdf|J. Silvertown, S. Holtier, J. Johnson and P. Dale (1992) Cellular Automaton Models of Interspecific Competition for Space-The Effect of Pattern on Process. Journal of Ecology, 80(3):527-533}}|
|  | {{http://www.dpi.inpe.br/gilberto/cursos/papers/Berjak2002.pdf|S. G. Berjak,  J. W. Hearne (2002) An improved cellular automaton model for simulating fire in a spatially heterogeneous Savanna system. Ecological Modelling 148(2):133–15}}|
| | {{http://www.dpi.inpe.br/gilberto/cursos/papers/Sirakoulis2000.pdf|G.Ch Sirakoulis, I. Karafyllidis, A. Thanailakis (2000) A cellular automaton model for the effects of population movement and vaccination on epidemic propagation. Ecological Modelling 133(3): 209–223}}|
|  | {{http://www.dpi.inpe.br/gilberto/cursos/papers/Beauchemina2005.pdf|C. Beauchemina, J. Samuelb, J. Tuszynskia (2005) A simple cellular automaton model for influenza A viral infections. Journal of Theoretical Biology 232(2) 223–234}}|
| Cassia e Kelly| {{http://www.dpi.inpe.br/gilberto/cursos/papers/Medeiros2011.pdf|Medeiros, L. C., Castilho, C. A. R., Braga, C., de Souza, W. V., Regis, L., Monteiro, A. M. V. (2011). Modeling the dynamic transmission of dengue fever: investigating disease persistence. PLOS neglected tropical diseases, 5(1), e942.}}|
| | {{http://www.dpi.inpe.br/gilberto/cursos/papers/Nakanishi1990.pdf|H. Nakanishi (1990) Cellular-automaton model of earthquakes with deterministic dynamics. Phys. Rev. A 41:7086–7089}}|
| | {{http://www.hks.harvard.edu/netgov/files/fellows/onnela_j/papers/A7.pdf| R. Toivonen, J. Onnela, J. Saramaki, J. Hyvonen, K. Kaski (2006) A model for social networks. Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications 371(2):851–860}}|
|  | {{http://www.dpi.inpe.br/gilberto/cursos/papers//joana_barros.pdf|Barros, J. Urban Growth in Latin American Cities. PhD thesis, CASA/UCL}} |
| Frederico e André | {{http://www.dpi.inpe.br/gilberto/cursos/papers/gas_book_chap3.pdf|Sex, Culture and Conflict in SugarScape}}. From J Epstein, R. Axtell, Growing Artificial Societies: Social Science from the Bottom Up. MIT Press, 1996.|
|  | {{http://www.dpi.inpe.br/gilberto/cursos/papers/gas_book_chap4.pdf|Trade in SugarScape}}. From J Epstein, R. Axtell, Growing Artificial Societies: Social Science from the Bottom Up. MIT Press, 1996.|
|  | {{http://jasss.soc.surrey.ac.uk/16/4/11.html|S Heckbert (2013). MayaSim: An agent-based model of the ancient Maya social-ecological system.}}{{http://www.openabm.org/model/3063/version/4/view| Available in CoMSES Computational Model Library.}}|
| |{{http://www.openabm.org/model/3705/version/2/view| R Axelrod (1997). “The dissemination of culture - A model with local convergence and global polarization.” Journal of Conflict Resolution 41: 203-226.Replicated in CoMSES Computational Model Library.}}|
| | {{http://www.openabm.org/model/3377/version/1/view|J Pepper and B Smuts (2000). The evolution of cooperation in an ecological context: an agent-based model. Replicated in CoMSES Computational Model Library.}}|
|  | {{http://www.openabm.org/model/3890/version/2/view|K Kahn (2013) A model of the Spanish Flu Pandemic. Available in CoMSES Computational Model Library.}}|
| | {{http://www.openabm.org/model/3051/version/1/view|Schindler J (2012) A simple Multi-Agent System of the Tragedy Of the Commons. Available in CoMSES Computational Model Library.}}|
| | {{http://www.openabm.org/model/2762/version/1/view| A K Knittel, R Riolo and R Snow (2011). Development and evaluation of an agent-based model of sexual partnership. Adaptive Behavior (available at CoMSES Computational Model Library.}}|.
| | {{http://www.openabm.org/model/2274/version/2/view| M Janssen and N.D. Rollins (2012). Evolution of cooperation in asymmetric commons dilemmas. Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, 81: 220-229. Available in CoMSES Computational Model Library).}}|
| | {{http://www.openabm.org/model/2222/version/2/view|Axtell, Epstein, et al. (2002) Population Growth and Collapse in a Multi-Agent Model of the Kayenta Anasazi in Long House Valley. PNAS 99(3): 7275-7279.  Replicated in M Janssen and available in CoMSES Computational Model Library.}}|
|  | {{http://www.dpi.inpe.br/gilberto/cursos/papers/Sirakoulis2000.pdf|G.Ch Sirakoulis, I. Karafyllidis, A. Thanailakis (2000) A cellular automaton model for the effects of population movement and vaccination on epidemic propagation. Ecological Modelling 133(3): 209–223}}|
| | {{http://www.dpi.inpe.br/gilberto/cursos/papers/White2007.pdf|S. Hoya White, A. Martín del Rey, G. Rodríguez Sánchez(2007), Modeling epidemics using cellular automata. Applied Mathematics and Computation, 186(1):193-202}}|
| | {{http://www.dpi.inpe.br/gilberto/cursos/papers/Feitosa2012.pdf| F. Feitosa, A.M. Monteiro, Urban Conventions and Residential Location Choice. CAMUSS Conference (Cellular Automata Modeling forUrban and Spatial Systems 2012)}}|
| | Almeida, Rodolfo Maduro, and Elbert EN Macau. "Stochastic cellular automata model for wildland fire spread dynamics." Journal of Physics: Conference Series. Vol. 285. No. 1. IOP Publishing, 2011.|

===== Papers for Final Projects: Secondary Choices =====

You can also choose from the following papers if you did not find a suitable paper in the above list.

|  | {{http://www.dpi.inpe.br/gilberto/cursos/papers/Balzter1998.pdf|H. Balzter, P. W. Braun, W. Köhler (1998) Cellular automata models for vegetation dynamics. Ecological Modelling 107(2-3):113-125}}|
| | {{http://www.dpi.inpe.br/gilberto/cursos/papers/Bandini2007.pdf|S Bandini, F Celada, S Manzoni, G Vizzari (2007). Modelling the immune system: the case of situated cellular agents, Natural Computing, 6(1):19-32.}}|
| | {{http://www.dpi.inpe.br/gilberto/cursos/papers/Yassemi2008.pdf|S. Yassemi, S. Dragićevića, M. Schmidt(2008), Design and implementation of an integrated GIS-based cellular automata model to characterize forest fire behaviour
, Ecological Modelling, 210(1–2), 71–84}}|
|  | {{http://www.openabm.org/model/3163/version/2/view|S Bergin (2012). Torsten Hägerstrand’s Spatial Innovation Diffusion Model. Available in CoMSES Computational Model Library.}}|
| Ricardo, Ana e Karina | {{http://www.dpi.inpe.br/gilberto/cursos/papers//Dunkerley1997a.pdf|D. L. Dunkerley (1997) Banded vegetation: development under uniform rainfall from a simple cellular automaton model. Plant Ecology 129(2):103-111}}|
|  | {{http://www.dpi.inpe.br/gilberto/cursos/papers//Dunkerley1997b.pdf|D.L Dunkerley (1997) Banded vegetation: survival under drought and grazing pressure based on a simple cellular automaton model. Journal of Arid Environments 35(3):419–428}}|
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